Bank levy highlights S&P/ASX 200 concentration risk

 

In the aftermath of the announcement that there will be a bank levy, bank share prices were hit, driving the S&P/ASX 200 down. Most Australian equity portfolios have a significant exposure to the big four banks and Macquarie which represent 32% of the S&P/ASX 200 Accumulation Index.

To address the concentration risk in the S&P/ASX 200, VanEck Vectors Australian Equal Weight ETF (ASX: MVW) is a diversified portfolio that is underweight the big four banks and Macquarie compared to a market-cap weighted portfolio. During the week after the Treasurer’s announcement, MVW has significantly outperformed.

Last week Treasurer Scott Morrison announced a 0.06% annual levy over the next four years that will affect banks with liabilities (debts) above $100 million which include the big four banks and Macquarie. The new tax will be levied on various types of borrowing that banks use to fund their lending.  Based on Treasury estimates, the levy will raise approximately $6.2 billion over four years which is expected to take off about 4-5% of earnings from the major banks.   

In the aftermath of the announcement bank share prices were hit, driving the S&P/ASX 200 down. Most Australian equity portfolios have a significant exposure to the big four banks and Macquarie which represent 32% of the S&P/ASX 200 Accumulation Index.

The below two charts illustrate the weighting of the big four banks relative to the S&P/ASX 200. The big four banks represents over a quarter of the Australian equity market by market capitalisation.

Bank Levy 1

To address the concentration risk in the S&P/ASX 200, VanEck Vectors Australian Equal Weight ETF (ASX: MVW) is a diversified portfolio that is underweight the big four banks and Macquarie compared to a market-cap weighted portfolio. During the week of the Treasurer’s announcement, MVW returned 1.37%, while the S&P/ASX 200 returned only 0.16%.

Bank levy performance

MVW equally weights the largest and most liquid stocks on the ASX (84 stocks @ 1.19% each). Relative to the S&P/ASX 200, the resulting portfolio:

 - reduces banks’ exposure by ~23%; and

 - reduces ASX top 10 exposure by ~40%

Equal weighting is a strategy that has been around for quite some time with many academic institutions including London’s Cass Business School, Goethe University and even Australia’s own CSIRO Monash Superannuation Research Cluster studying the approach. VanEck’s own findings are published here:

Equal Weight: Outperforming three years on 

The unequalled power of equal weight investing 

Strong Foundations Have Equal Footings

With persistent headwinds facing banks (see: Much ado about banks) investors need to consider an alternative approach to Australian equity investing. For more information on MVW  click here.

IMPORTANT NOTICE: This information is issued by VanEck Investments Limited ABN 22 146 596 116 AFSL 416755 (‘VanEck’) as responsible entity and issuer of the VanEck Vectors Australian Equal Weight ETF (‘Fund’). This is general information only and not financial advice. It does not take into account any person’s individual objectives, financial situation or needs. Before making an investment decision in relation to the Fund, you should read the PDS and with the assistance of a financial adviser consider if it is appropriate for your circumstances. The PDS is available atwww.vaneck.com.auor by calling 1300 68 38 37. The Fund is subject to investment risk, including possible loss of capital invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. No member of the VanEck group of companies gives any guarantee or assurance as to the repayment of capital, the payment of income, the performance, or any particular rate of return from the Fund.

Published: 09 August 2018